Destined For War: Can America And China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?.Book By Graham Tillett Allison Jr. PDF Free Download.
Destined For War Book PDF Free Download
A War Neither China Nor The United States Want Is About To Begin. Thucydides’ Trap, A Fatal Pattern Of Structural Tension That Develops When A Rising Power Confronts A Predominating One, Is The Cause. This Occurrence Has Existed For As Long As History.
The Peloponnesian War, Which Ravaged Ancient Greece, Was Inevitably Brought On By Athens’ Growth And The Dread It Created In Sparta, According To Historian Thucydides.&; There Have Been Sixteen Occurrences Of Similar Circumstances In The Last 500 Years.
Twelve Of Them Saw The Start Of War. Currently, The Sixteenth Case Seems Hopeless As An Unstoppable China Approaches An Immovable America And Both Xi Jinping And Donald Trump Pledge To Make Their Nations “Great Again.”
A Trade Dispute, Hacking, Or Maritime Mishap Could Quickly Turn Into An All-out War Unless China Is Ready To Curtail Its Goals Or Washington Is Willing To Tolerate Falling To Second Place In The Pacific.
The Renowned Harvard Historian Graham Allison Shows Why Thucydides’s Trap Is The Ideal Lens For Comprehending U.s.-china Relations In The Twenty-first Century In His Book Destined For War. He Demonstrates How Close We Are To The Inconceivable Through Strange Historical Analogies And War Scenarios. Allison, Who Emphasises That Conflict Is Not Inevitable, Also Explains How Competing Powers Have Managed To Maintain Peace In The Past And What Difficult Measures China And The United States Must Take In The Present To Avert Catastrophe.
Author Of The Best-selling Books Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master’s Insights On China, The United States, And The World (2013), Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe (2004), And Essence Of Decision: Explaining The Cuban Missile Crisis (1971, 1999),
Graham Allison Is The Director Of The Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Centre For Science And International Affairs.
Dr. Allison, The Founding Dean Of The Harvard Kennedy School, Has Advised The Secretaries Of Defence Under Every President From Reagan To Obama While Serving As Assistant Secretary Of Defence. He Is A Member Of The Secretary Of State’s And Secretary Of Defense’s Advisory Committees Has Twice Received The Department Of Defense’s Highest Civilian Honour, The Distinguished Public Service Medal.
There Is Nothing More Beneficial Now Than Having A Basic Awareness Of China. The Author Starts By Discussing The “Thucydides Trap” And Then Draws A Comparison Between Today’s Usa And China. That Is, There Is A Threat From A Growing Power (China) To The Throne-holder (Usa), And The Author Analyses What The Chinese Dream Is (As Opposed To The American Ideal). Anyone Interested In History Or Current Events Must Read The Book.
Graham Allison Effectively Describes Not Just The Us-chinese Rivalry But Also The Conflicts That Have Had A Significant Impact On Our Contemporary Environment. When Considering The Wars Of Any Century… And The Ones To Come, It’s Intriguing To Consider How Thucydides’s Trap Might Be Used To Explain “Great Power Conflict” In Both The Past And The Present.
One Of The Reasons For The Rivalry Between Powers That May Be Offered By A Variety Of Well-chosen Historical References. The Unexpected Is Still The Contingency, Which Still Exists And Has An Impact On How Historical Events Play Out. The Work Loses Some Of Its Relevance By Being Too Systematised.
“How To Avoid War” Is The Book’s Central Premise.
With His Study Of The Cuban Missile Crisis In The Essence Of Decisions, The Author Is Credited With Creating A Paradigm In The Area Of Policy Decision-making While Still A Student.
The First Head Of The Harvard University Kennedy School Of Government Was Graham Allison. He Has A Voice And Is Rather A Heavyweight, To Put It Another Way.
This Book Seems To Be The Outcome Of Allison’s 500-year Investigation Into The Thucydides Trap.
The Peloponnesian War Was Chronicled By Thucydides, Who Also Proposed The Theory That Sparta’s Hegemony In Ancient Greece Was Challenged By Expanding Athens, Which Resulted In The Peloponnesian War. When A Rising Power Feels Threatened By Its Position, War Breaks Out.
In The Previous 500 Years, Allison Found 16 Instances In Which A Hegemony Was Challenged By A Growing State, 12 Of Which Resulted In War, And 4 Of Which Did Not.
He Contends That As A Result, Conflict Between The United States (The Dispatch Country) And China (The Growing Nation) Is More Probable Than Anybody Thinks.
However, Because 4 Incidents May Have Been Avoided, It Is Argued That Avoidance Is Conceivable, Particularly
- 1 Clarification Of The Principle That One’s Own Nation (The United States) Must In No Way Budge
- 2 Calculation Of The Boundary That The Other Nation (China) Definitely Cannot Cross
- 3 Develop A Diplomatic Plan (4) Deal With Domestic Political Concerns In A Responsible Manner
- To Prevent Conflict, These Four Factors Are Essential.
(3) Might Surprise You, But It Seems Obama Also Added, “In This Day And Age, We Don’t Need A Diplomat Like Kennan.” I Think There Are Instances When Japan Looks To Be Looking For A Diplomatic Outlet For Its Frustration.
In Reference To (1), He Even Asserts That Taiwan And Vietnam Are Non-negotiable Issues For The Us. (It Is Said That “Avoiding A Nuclear War” Is The Ultimate Non-negotiable.)
I’d Prefer Stay Out Of War Since I’m Adamantly Opposed To It (Because, To Paraphrase Benedict Anderson, “States” Are Only Fictitious Entities, And I Don’t Want To Offer My Life For Them”). This Book, In My Opinion, Is Crucial In Helping To Even Slightly Lower The Probability Of War Breaking Out.
